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*SWISS CHESS TOURNAMENT WINNER PREDICTION SIMULATOR (SCTWPS)*

Program estimates the probability of a given chess player winning a Swiss-style chess tournament.

This program estimates the probability of a given chess player winning a Swiss-style chess tournament using Monte Carlo simulation. The user should be familiar with statistics such as the mean and standard deviation.

The program requires from the user the following inputs:

--The mean Elo and the standard deviation of all the chess players in the tournament.

--The Player Elo = the Elo of the chosen chess player under consideration to win the tournament.

--The total number of chess players in the tournament

--The number of games to be played by each player

--The number of iterations that the chess simulator will run.

The program takes from a few seconds to several hours to run, depending on the parameters chosen (bigger nos. = longer time). The user can abort the program anytime, by closing the window. A progress bar shows percent completion.

The program outputs its main results to the screen, and optionally more data to a small text file (limited to typically ~130 kb). The results tell how often the chosen chess player wins first place, and how the other players fare.

The program makes no changes to a user's machine, nevertheless, the user should take care to download this program from a reputable source, such as CodePlex.com and run it through a virus checker and/or in a sandbox environment.

Last edited Nov 15, 2012 at 10:29 PM by JayRodrequez, version 6